Models run during November predict that soil moisture is mostly normal across the state.

The south west and far east are wetter than normal, but there would be very little moisture left in a north west pasture following November's rainfall.

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From twelve global model forecasts, Victoria's rainfall predictions for December to February will likely be better than average, with eight simulations predicting a wetter summer.

There was no consensus on temperatures for summer, with five of twelve forecasts predicting no change, three forecasting warmer temperatures and two forecasting cooler temperatures.

Statewide, the outlook reported a drier pattern for November, which allowed for harvesting and hay making.

The La Nina in the Pacific continues, but remains weak.

The pattern has snuck off, despite the dry November and will dump heavy rain across eastern Australia this summer, the Bureau of Meteorology's latest climate outlook report said.

BOM's head of operational climate services Dr Andrew Watkins said Australia was continuing to experience an active La Nina event which was expected to remain until at least the start of autumn.

This meant large parts of eastern Australia had an increased risk of flooding, he said.

"While the last three weeks have been dry in many parts of the country - due in part to unfavourable tropical weather patterns - it does not signal a weakening of La Nina.

"Our climate outlook is the opposite of what we experienced last year in Australia. This summer, NSW, Victoria and Queensland are expected to see above average rainfall, meaning we face an increased risk of widespread floods."

- with Vernon Graham

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